Talking about the polling on health reform is like reviewing a Demi Moore film. Sure it's sort of fun to watch, but at the end of the day what's the point?
Depending on where you stand, you can find a poll to back up your position and a spin to dispute your opponent's.
If you’re the chairman of the Republican National Committee, for example, then recent polls showing declining presidential approval ratings and increasing opposition to reform are cause for rejoice. In just a few months you’ll be decking the halls of Congress with pink slips for Members who voted for “aye” on passage.
If you’re the White House Chief of Staff, such talk is on par with sugar plum fairies. The polls are an aberration, like the August town halls. The only way to avoid a day after Christmas fire sale in Congress on par with the midterms of 1994 is to pass reform. Besides, not all the polls are bad.
Handicapping political horse races is more difficult than betting on Ivy League Basketball (Our advice? Don’t bet against Cornell…), but there are two things to consider when looking at how health reform will impact the 2010 midterm elections.